CBSE 2025 · Region 2 · Set 3 · Q37 · 4 marks
Three persons viz. Amber, Bonzi and Comet are manufacturing cars which run on petrol and on battery as well. Their production share in the market is $\displaystyle 60 \%, 30 \%$ and $\displaystyle 10 \%$ respectively. Of their respective production capacities, $\displaystyle 20 \%, 10 \%$ and $\displaystyle 5 \%$ cars respectively are electric (or battery operated) . Based on the above, answer the following:
(a)What is the probability that a randomly selected car is an electric car?
Three persons viz. Amber, Bonzi and Comet are manufacturing cars which run on petrol and on battery as well. Their production share in the market is $\displaystyle 60 \%, 30 \%$ and $\displaystyle 10 \%$ respectively. Of their respective production capacities, $\displaystyle 20 \%, 10 \%$ and $\displaystyle 5 \%$ cars respectively are electric (or battery operated) . Based on the above, answer the following:
(a)
What is the probability that a randomly selected car is an electric car?
Marking-scheme solution
$\displaystyle 37$(i)(a)Let A = Amber manufactures the carB = Bonzi manufactures the carC = Comet manufactures the carE = The selected car is electric$\displaystyle P(A) = \dfrac{60}{100},\; P(B) = \dfrac{30}{100},\; P(C) = \dfrac{10}{100}$$\displaystyle P(E) = P(A) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{A}\right) + P(B) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{B}\right) + P(C) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{C}\right)$$\displaystyle = \dfrac{60}{100} \times \dfrac{20}{100} + \dfrac{30}{100} \times \dfrac{10}{100} + \dfrac{10}{100} \times \dfrac{5}{100}$$\displaystyle = \dfrac{155}{1000}\ or\ \dfrac{31}{200}$
OR
$\displaystyle 37$(i)(b)Let A = Amber manufactures the carB = Bonzi manufactures the carC = Comet manufactures the carE = The selected car is a petrol car$\displaystyle P(A) = \dfrac{60}{100},\; P(B) = \dfrac{30}{100},\; P(C) = \dfrac{10}{100}$$\displaystyle P(E) = P(A) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{A}\right) + P(B) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{B}\right) + P(C) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{C}\right)$$\displaystyle = \dfrac{60}{100} \times \dfrac{80}{100} + \dfrac{30}{100} \times \dfrac{90}{100} + \dfrac{10}{100} \times \dfrac{95}{100}$$\displaystyle = \dfrac{845}{1000}\ or\ \dfrac{169}{200}$$\displaystyle 37$(ii)\[P\left(\frac{C}{E}\right) = \frac{P(C) \times P\left(\dfrac{E}{C}\right)}{P(E)} \]\[= \frac{\dfrac{10}{100} \times \dfrac{5}{100}}{\dfrac{60}{100} \times \dfrac{20}{100} + \dfrac{30}{100} \times \dfrac{10}{100} + \dfrac{10}{100} \times \dfrac{5}{100}} \]\[= \frac{\dfrac{50}{10000}}{\dfrac{1550}{10000}} = \frac{1}{31} \]$\displaystyle 37$(iii)\[P\left(\frac{A \text{ or } B}{E}\right) = 1 - P\left(\frac{C}{E}\right) = 1 - \frac{1}{31} = \frac{30}{31} \]ProbabilityBayes' TheoremApplycase_studymedium
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CBSE Class 12 Mathematics past-paper question from the 2025board exam, with the answer as CBSE’s own marking scheme gives it. Where our answers come from.